Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 57.55%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 22.6% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.99%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 (5.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
Result | ||
Feyenoord | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
57.55% ( -4.72) | 19.85% ( 1.14) | 22.6% ( 3.58) |
Both teams to score 66.94% ( 1.6) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.42% ( -0.4) | 29.59% ( 0.41) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.31% ( -0.5) | 50.69% ( 0.5) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.62% ( -1.24) | 10.38% ( 1.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.11% ( -2.9) | 33.89% ( 2.9) |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.69% ( 2.79) | 25.31% ( -2.78) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.91% ( 3.68) | 60.09% ( -3.68) |
Score Analysis |
Feyenoord | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.45) 2-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.61) 1-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.77) 3-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.49) 4-0 @ 2.88% ( -0.63) 4-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.11) 5-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.34) 5-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.37) 4-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.05) 5-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.57% Total : 57.55% | 1-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.38) 2-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.44) 0-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.2) Other @ 0.49% Total : 19.85% | 1-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.67) 0-1 @ 3.61% ( 0.35) 2-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.41) 1-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.48) 0-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.41) 0-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.26) 2-4 @ 1% ( 0.21) Other @ 3.27% Total : 22.6% |
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