SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 75.18%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 9.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.38%) and 0-3 (10.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.48%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-0 (3.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portimonense | Draw | Benfica |
9.08% ( 0) | 15.74% ( 0) | 75.18% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 46.84% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.06% ( 0.01) | 38.94% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.74% ( 0.01) | 61.26% ( -0) |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.34% ( 0.01) | 48.65% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 16.29% ( 0.01) | 83.7% ( -0.01) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.23% ( 0) | 8.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 69.89% ( 0) | 30.1% |
| Score Analysis |
| Portimonense | Draw | Benfica |
| 1-0 @ 3.07% 2-1 @ 2.69% ( 0)2-0 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 2.2% Total : 9.08% | 1-1 @ 7.48% 0-0 @ 4.26% ( -0)2-2 @ 3.28% ( 0)Other @ 0.71% Total : 15.74% | 0-2 @ 12.63% 0-1 @ 10.38% 0-3 @ 10.25% 1-2 @ 9.1% ( 0)1-3 @ 7.39% 0-4 @ 6.24% ( -0)1-4 @ 4.5% 0-5 @ 3.04% 2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0)1-5 @ 2.19% 2-4 @ 1.62% ( 0)0-6 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.94% Total : 75.17% |
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