SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 52.65%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 23.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 0-1 (6.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Besiktas | Draw | Fatih Karagumruk |
52.65% ( 0.1) | 23.78% ( 0.02) | 23.57% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 54.15% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.1% ( -0.2) | 46.89% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.85% ( -0.18) | 69.15% ( 0.18) |
| Besiktas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.22% ( -0.04) | 17.78% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.51% ( -0.06) | 48.48% ( 0.05) |
| Fatih Karagumruk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.86% ( -0.22) | 34.14% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.17% ( -0.23) | 70.82% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Besiktas | Draw | Fatih Karagumruk |
| 1-0 @ 10.48% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.6% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.42% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.59% Total : 52.65% | 1-1 @ 11.26% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.77% | 0-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.19% Total : 23.57% |
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