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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 38
May 26, 2024 at 5pm UK
Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadyumu
B

Kasimpasa
2 - 1
Besiktas

da Costa (4'), Ozcan (61')
Porozo (9')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kilicsoy (87')
Kilicsoy (31'), Tiknaz (70')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Caykur Rizespor 0-0 Kasimpasa
Saturday, May 18 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Besiktas 2-2 Hatayspor
Saturday, May 18 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Kasimpasa 1-2 Besiktas

Buoyed by their cup success, Besiktas will head into the season finale in sky-high spirits as they look to end what has been a challenging campaign on a positive note. That said, we predict that the visitors will come away with all three points in this one, albeit by the odd goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 39.84%. A win for Besiktas had a probability of 35% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Besiktas win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kasimpasa would win this match.

Result
KasimpasaDrawBesiktas
39.84% (0.019999999999996 0.02) 25.16% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 35% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Both teams to score 56.98% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.42% (0.048000000000002 0.05)46.58% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.15% (0.044 0.04)68.85% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Kasimpasa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.8% (0.031999999999996 0.03)23.19% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.91% (0.044999999999995 0.04)57.09% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Besiktas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.19% (0.019999999999996 0.02)25.81% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.23% (0.025999999999996 0.03)60.77% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Kasimpasa 39.84%
    Besiktas 35%
    Draw 25.15%
KasimpasaDrawBesiktas
1-0 @ 8.75% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 6.39% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.22% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 3.11% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.86% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.14% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 39.84%
1-1 @ 11.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.99% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.86% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 8.11% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.02% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 5.49% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.62% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 35%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Caykur Rizespor 0-0 Kasimpasa
Saturday, May 18 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kasimpasa 3-1 Antalyaspor
Sunday, May 12 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Istanbul 4-1 Kasimpasa
Sunday, May 5 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kasimpasa 1-0 Samsunspor
Saturday, April 27 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Gaziantep 2-0 Kasimpasa
Sunday, April 21 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kasimpasa 0-2 Konyaspor
Saturday, April 13 at 11.30am in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Besiktas 2-2 Hatayspor
Saturday, May 18 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Alanyaspor 1-1 Besiktas
Sunday, May 12 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Besiktas 3-2 Caykur Rizespor
Friday, May 3 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Fenerbahce 2-1 Besiktas
Saturday, April 27 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Besiktas 2-0 Ankaragucu
Friday, April 19 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Besiktas 1-1 Samsunspor
Saturday, April 13 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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