SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 46.41%. A win for Besiktas had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.84%) and 1-3 (5.68%). The likeliest Besiktas win was 2-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Besiktas | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
31.65% ( -1.97) | 21.94% ( -0.61) | 46.41% ( 2.57) |
| Both teams to score 67.65% ( 1.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.86% ( 2.21) | 32.14% ( -2.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.27% ( 2.54) | 53.73% ( -2.53) |
| Besiktas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.15% ( 0.02) | 20.85% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.46% ( 0.02) | 53.54% ( -0.02) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.47% ( 1.79) | 14.53% ( -1.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.44% ( 3.34) | 42.56% ( -3.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Besiktas | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
| 2-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.4) 1-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.59)3-1 @ 3.75% ( -0.21)2-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.46)3-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.24)4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.87% Total : 31.65% | 1-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.51) 2-2 @ 6.93% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 3.03% ( -0.38)3-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.16)Other @ 0.5% Total : 21.94% | 1-2 @ 8.84% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.33)1-3 @ 5.68% ( 0.38)0-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 4.45% ( 0.3)0-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.24)1-4 @ 2.74% ( 0.34)2-4 @ 2.15% ( 0.27)0-4 @ 1.75% ( 0.22)3-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.14)1-5 @ 1.06% ( 0.19)Other @ 3.51% Total : 46.41% |
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