Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Antalyaspor win with a probability of 49.84%. A win for Akron Tolyatti had a probability of 26.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Antalyaspor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Akron Tolyatti win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
0.32) 
-0.33) 
