SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for Antalyaspor had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Antalyaspor win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kasimpasa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kasimpasa | Draw | Antalyaspor |
43.74% ( 0.04) | 24.65% ( -0.05) | 31.61% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.67% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.79% ( 0.24) | 45.21% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.45% ( 0.23) | 67.56% ( -0.23) |
| Kasimpasa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.25% ( 0.12) | 20.75% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.62% ( 0.19) | 53.39% ( -0.18) |
| Antalyaspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.77% ( 0.12) | 27.23% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.35% ( 0.16) | 62.65% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kasimpasa | Draw | Antalyaspor |
| 2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 6.99% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.66% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.87% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.73% Total : 43.74% | 1-1 @ 11.55% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.64% | 1-2 @ 7.52% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.07% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 3% Total : 31.61% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
