SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for Antalyaspor had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Antalyaspor win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Antalyaspor |
43.82% ( 0.1) | 24.65% ( 0.08) | 31.53% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 57.66% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.78% ( -0.42) | 45.22% ( 0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.44% ( -0.41) | 67.56% ( 0.41) |
| Fatih Karagumruk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.28% ( -0.13) | 20.72% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.67% ( -0.2) | 53.33% ( 0.2) |
| Antalyaspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.72% ( -0.32) | 27.28% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.29% ( -0.42) | 62.71% ( 0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Antalyaspor |
| 2-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.9% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 7% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 4.77% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.45% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.74% Total : 43.82% | 1-1 @ 11.55% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.64% | 1-2 @ 7.51% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.34% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 4.77% 1-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.98% Total : 31.53% |
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