SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Antalyaspor win with a probability of 61.87%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 16.64%.
The most likely scoreline for an Antalyaspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.12%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 0-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Antalyaspor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Antalyaspor | Draw | Hatayspor |
61.87% ( 1.34) | 21.49% ( -0.37) | 16.64% ( -0.97) |
| Both teams to score 50.35% ( -0.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.57% ( -0.04) | 46.42% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.29% ( -0.04) | 68.71% ( 0.04) |
| Antalyaspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.54% ( 0.41) | 14.46% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.58% ( 0.78) | 42.42% ( -0.78) |
| Hatayspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.85% ( -1.21) | 41.14% ( 1.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.31% ( -1.09) | 77.68% ( 1.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Antalyaspor | Draw | Hatayspor |
| 1-0 @ 11.5% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 11.12% ( 0.34)2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.32)3-1 @ 6.37% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.2)4-1 @ 3.08% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.1)5-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.55% Total : 61.86% | 1-1 @ 10.21% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.16)Other @ 0.93% Total : 21.48% | 0-1 @ 5.28% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.23)0-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.83% Total : 16.64% |
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