SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 59.05%. A win for AB had a probability of 21.24% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.2%) and 1-3 (7.12%). The likeliest AB win was 2-1 (5.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AB | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
21.24% ( -0.12) | 19.71% ( -0.06) | 59.05% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 65.39% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.29% ( 0.14) | 30.71% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.96% ( 0.17) | 52.04% ( -0.16) |
| AB Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.94% ( -0.02) | 27.06% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.57% ( -0.02) | 62.42% ( 0.02) |
| Holstein Kiel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.65% ( 0.09) | 10.35% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 66.17% ( 0.2) | 33.82% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| AB | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
| 2-1 @ 5.43% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0)2-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.67% Total : 21.24% | 1-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.8% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 2.03% ( 0)Other @ 0.43% Total : 19.71% | 1-2 @ 9.42% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.2% ( -0)1-3 @ 7.12% ( 0.02)0-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 5.45% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 4.65% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 4.04% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 3.09% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 2.64% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.83% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 1.4% ( 0.02)2-5 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)3-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.52% Total : 59.05% |
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