SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 46.81%. A win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.09%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Holstein Kiel | Draw | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
46.81% ( 0.05) | 22.07% ( 0.01) | 31.11% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 66.87% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.95% ( -0.11) | 33.04% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.22% ( -0.12) | 54.77% ( 0.12) |
| Holstein Kiel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.27% ( -0.02) | 14.73% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.06% ( -0.04) | 42.94% ( 0.04) |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.41% ( -0.09) | 21.58% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.32% ( -0.14) | 54.67% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Holstein Kiel | Draw | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 2-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.71% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.73% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.1% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.78% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 3.42% Total : 46.81% | 1-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.85% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.46% Total : 22.07% | 1-2 @ 7.16% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.74% 1-3 @ 3.66% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.53% Total : 31.11% |
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