SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 48.03%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.85%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hamburger SV | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
48.03% ( 0.09) | 22.42% ( -0.02) | 29.54% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 64.5% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.26% ( 0.06) | 35.74% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.2% ( 0.07) | 57.8% ( -0.07) |
| Hamburger SV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.69% ( 0.05) | 15.31% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.96% ( 0.1) | 44.04% ( -0.1) |
| Holstein Kiel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.16% ( -0.01) | 23.84% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.98% ( -0.02) | 58.02% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hamburger SV | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
| 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.43% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.76% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.7% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 3.16% Total : 48.03% | 1-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.61% 0-0 @ 3.65% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.98% ( 0)Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.42% | 1-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.16% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 2.86% Total : 29.54% |
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