SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 40%. A win for Hannover had a probability of 37.04% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.16%) and 0-2 (5.21%). The likeliest Hannover win was 2-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Holstein Kiel in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hannover | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
37.04% ( -0.27) | 22.96% ( -0.27) | 40% ( 0.54) |
| Both teams to score 65.44% ( 1.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.3% ( 1.36) | 35.7% ( -1.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.23% ( 1.48) | 57.77% ( -1.49) |
| Hannover Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.22% ( 0.47) | 19.77% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.18% ( 0.76) | 51.82% ( -0.77) |
| Holstein Kiel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.56% ( 0.81) | 18.43% ( -0.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.4% ( 1.36) | 49.6% ( -1.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hannover | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
| 2-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.32)2-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 4.37% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.27% Total : 37.04% | 1-1 @ 9.99% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 6.85% ( 0.1)0-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.25)3-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.96% | 1-2 @ 8.45% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.16% ( -0.26)0-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 4.76% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 3.86% ( 0.15)0-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 2.01% ( 0.1)2-4 @ 1.63% ( 0.11)0-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.73% Total : 40% |
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