SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Larnaca win with a probability of 51.93%. A win for AEL Limassol had a probability of 24.06% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Larnaca win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest AEL Limassol win was 0-1 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AEK Larnaca | Draw | AEL Limassol |
51.93% ( -0.26) | 24.01% ( 0.2) | 24.06% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 53.97% ( -0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.59% ( -0.82) | 47.41% ( 0.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.37% ( -0.77) | 69.63% ( 0.77) |
| AEK Larnaca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.76% ( -0.41) | 18.24% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.72% ( -0.7) | 49.28% ( 0.7) |
| AEL Limassol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.01% ( -0.4) | 33.99% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.33% ( -0.43) | 70.67% ( 0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| AEK Larnaca | Draw | AEL Limassol |
| 1-0 @ 10.55% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.41% Total : 51.93% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24% | 0-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 6.14% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.3% ( 0)Other @ 2.23% Total : 24.06% |
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