Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Tel Aviv win with a probability of 42.79%. A win for AEK Larnaca had a probability of 30.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest AEK Larnaca win was 1-0 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.