SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Tel Aviv win with a probability of 63.35%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for AEK Larnaca had a probability of 14.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.29%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for an AEK Larnaca win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Maccabi Tel Aviv in this match.
| Result | ||
| Maccabi Tel Aviv | Draw | AEK Larnaca |
63.35% ( 0.97) | 21.66% ( -0.14) | 14.98% ( -0.82) |
| Both teams to score 46.15% ( -1.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.89% ( -0.89) | 50.1% ( 0.89) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.92% ( -0.8) | 72.07% ( 0.8) |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.8% ( 0.01) | 15.2% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.17% ( 0.03) | 43.83% ( -0.03) |
| AEK Larnaca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.42% ( -1.67) | 45.57% ( 1.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.61% ( -1.34) | 81.39% ( 1.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv | Draw | AEK Larnaca |
| 1-0 @ 13.04% ( 0.47) 2-0 @ 12.29% ( 0.45)2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.29)3-1 @ 6.07% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.13)5-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.12% Total : 63.34% | 1-1 @ 10.25% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.22)Other @ 0.69% Total : 21.66% | 0-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.23)0-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.11)Other @ 1.32% Total : 14.98% |
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