SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 56.54%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Paris FC had a probability of 20.38%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Paris FC win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Auxerre | Draw | Paris FC |
56.54% ( -1.17) | 23.08% ( 0.29) | 20.38% ( 0.88) |
| Both teams to score 52.05% ( 0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.41% ( -0.06) | 47.59% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.21% ( -0.06) | 69.79% ( 0.06) |
| Auxerre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.38% ( -0.43) | 16.62% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.55% ( -0.77) | 46.45% ( 0.77) |
| Paris FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.42% ( 0.89) | 37.58% ( -0.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.64% ( 0.86) | 74.36% ( -0.86) |
| Score Analysis |
| Auxerre | Draw | Paris FC |
| 1-0 @ 11.2% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 10.05% ( -0.27)2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.02% ( -0.25)3-1 @ 5.89% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.1% Total : 56.52% | 1-1 @ 10.97% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.08% | 0-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.61% Total : 20.38% |
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