Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 39.86%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 35.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-0 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.
0.04) 
-0.01) 
