Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.
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