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National League North | Gameweek 37
Apr 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Impact Arena

Alfreton
3 - 0
Gloucester City

Thewlis (38', 54'), Waldock (46')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and Gloucester City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alfreton 0-0 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 1-6 Chester
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 67.68%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Gloucester City had a probability of 12.46%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.83%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for a Gloucester City win it was 0-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.

Result
Alfreton TownDrawGloucester City
67.68% (-0.7 -0.7) 19.85% (0.402 0.4) 12.46% (0.299 0.3)
Both teams to score 45.08% (-0.359 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.08% (-0.983 -0.98)47.91% (0.987 0.99)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.91% (-0.91 -0.91)70.09% (0.913 0.91)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.83% (-0.497 -0.5)13.17% (0.499 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.13% (-1.021 -1.02)39.87% (1.024 1.02)
Gloucester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.92% (-0.114 -0.11)48.08% (0.116 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.71% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)83.29% (0.084999999999994 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Alfreton Town 67.67%
    Gloucester City 12.46%
    Draw 19.85%
Alfreton TownDrawGloucester City
2-0 @ 13.01% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
1-0 @ 12.83% (0.28 0.28)
2-1 @ 9.53%
3-0 @ 8.79% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-1 @ 6.44% (-0.123 -0.12)
4-0 @ 4.46% (-0.157 -0.16)
4-1 @ 3.26% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.053 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.81% (-0.099 -0.1)
5-1 @ 1.32% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 67.67%
1-1 @ 9.4% (0.176 0.18)
0-0 @ 6.33% (0.256 0.26)
2-2 @ 3.49% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 19.85%
0-1 @ 4.64% (0.172 0.17)
1-2 @ 3.44% (0.053 0.05)
0-2 @ 1.7% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 12.46%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Alfreton 0-0 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chester 0-2 Alfreton
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 1-0 Rushall Olympic
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-0 Alfreton
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 3-0 Bishop's Stortford
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 3-3 Alfreton
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 1-6 Chester
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: P'boro Sports 1-0 Gloucester City
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 1-1 Brackley Town
Friday, March 29 at 1pm in National League North
Last Game: Spennymoor 3-0 Gloucester City
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Warrington Town 1-2 Gloucester City
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 1-2 Tamworth
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League North


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