Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 67.68%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Gloucester City had a probability of 12.46%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.83%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for a Gloucester City win it was 0-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.
-0.7) 
0.4) 
