SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 67.68%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Gloucester City had a probability of 12.46%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.83%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for a Gloucester City win it was 0-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Gloucester City |
67.68% ( -0.7) | 19.85% ( 0.4) | 12.46% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 45.08% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.08% ( -0.98) | 47.91% ( 0.99) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.91% ( -0.91) | 70.09% ( 0.91) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.83% ( -0.5) | 13.17% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.13% ( -1.02) | 39.87% ( 1.02) |
| Gloucester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.92% ( -0.11) | 48.08% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.71% ( -0.08) | 83.29% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Gloucester City |
| 2-0 @ 13.01% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 12.83% ( 0.28)2-1 @ 9.53% 3-0 @ 8.79% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.1)5-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.67% Total : 67.67% | 1-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.63% Total : 19.85% | 0-1 @ 4.64% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.69% Total : 12.46% |
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