Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 38.47%. A win for AF Elbasani had a probability of 37.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.28%) and 2-0 (5.59%). The likeliest AF Elbasani win was 1-2 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
0.47) 
-0.11) 
