SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 77.24%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 8.35%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.33%) and 1-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.8%), while for an Aris Thessaloniki win it was 0-1 (2.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
77.24% ( 0.06) | 14.41% ( -0.03) | 8.35% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 48.69% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.12% ( 0.03) | 34.88% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.15% ( 0.03) | 56.85% ( -0.03) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.63% ( 0.02) | 7.37% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.41% ( 0.05) | 26.58% ( -0.05) |
| Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.56% ( -0.05) | 47.44% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.19% ( -0.03) | 82.81% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
| 2-0 @ 11.88% 3-0 @ 10.33% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 9.12% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.71% 4-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 5.02% ( 0)5-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0)5-1 @ 2.62% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.87% 6-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 1.14% ( 0)5-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.05% Total : 77.23% | 1-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.81% Total : 14.41% | 0-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.23% Total : 8.35% |
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