Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 77.24%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 8.35%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.33%) and 1-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.8%), while for an Aris Thessaloniki win it was 0-1 (2.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
77.24% (![]() | 14.41% (![]() | 8.35% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.69% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.12% (![]() | 34.88% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.15% (![]() | 56.85% (![]() |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.63% (![]() | 7.37% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.41% (![]() | 26.58% (![]() |
Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.56% (![]() | 47.44% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.19% (![]() | 82.81% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
2-0 @ 11.88% 3-0 @ 10.33% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 9.12% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 8.87% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.71% 4-0 @ 6.74% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 5.02% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 3.51% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.87% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.62% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.87% 6-0 @ 1.53% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.14% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.05% Total : 77.23% | 1-1 @ 6.8% (![]() 0-0 @ 3.5% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.31% ( ![]() Other @ 0.81% Total : 14.41% | 0-1 @ 2.61% (![]() 1-2 @ 2.54% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 2.23% Total : 8.35% |
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