SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 53.24%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 22.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for an Aris Thessaloniki win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| NAC Breda | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
| 53.24% | 24.08% ( -0) | 22.67% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 52.13% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.94% ( 0.02) | 49.06% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.86% ( 0.02) | 71.13% ( -0.02) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.64% ( 0.01) | 18.36% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.52% ( 0.01) | 49.48% ( -0.01) |
| Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.85% ( 0.01) | 36.15% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.07% ( 0.02) | 72.93% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| NAC Breda | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
| 1-0 @ 11.25% 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.53% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.48% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.39% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.32% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.28% 4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0)Other @ 3.32% Total : 53.25% | 1-1 @ 11.44% 0-0 @ 6.64% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.07% | 0-1 @ 6.75% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.82% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.44% 1-3 @ 1.98% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.85% Total : 22.68% |
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