Benfica were excellent against Feyenoord last time out and will be eyeing another positive result on Friday, but Fulham have brought a strong squad in Portugal, and we are expecting a low-scoring draw here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 69.12%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Fulham had a probability of 14.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.19%) and 3-1 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.06%), while for a Fulham win it was 1-2 (3.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
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