Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 78.62%. A draw had a probability of 12.8% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 8.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.83%) and 2-1 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.54%), while for an Almeria win it was 1-2 (2.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
0.88) 
-0.25) 
