SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 67.04%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 15.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.04%) and 3-1 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.37%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-2 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Brentford |
67.04% ( -0.11) | 17.37% ( 0.04) | 15.59% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 63% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.05% ( -0.07) | 28.94% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.09% ( -0.09) | 49.91% ( 0.09) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.96% ( -0.04) | 8.04% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.7% ( -0.1) | 28.3% ( 0.11) |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.5% ( 0.04) | 31.49% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.11% ( 0.04) | 67.88% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Benfica | Draw | Brentford |
| 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.04% 3-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 4.51% ( -0)4-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.1% ( -0)6-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.1% Total : 67.04% | 1-1 @ 7.37% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.74% ( 0)Other @ 0.36% Total : 17.37% | 1-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.01% Total : 15.59% |
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