Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 41.08%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 32.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.
-0.17) 
0.03) 
