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League One | Gameweek 45
Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Memorial Stadium
PU

Bristol Rovers
0 - 2
Peterborough


Thomas (45+2'), Hoole (69')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Randall (41'), Jade-Jones (90+5')
Knight (90')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-0 Cambridge
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Peterborough United

This fixture has been dominated by Peterborough in recent seasons, winning 10 and losing just one of the previous 17 encounters between the two sides. With Bristol Rovers having little left to play for, sitting securely in mid-table, and the visitors battling for promotion, we believe Ferguson's side will come out victorious. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 55.18%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 22.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.75%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 2-1 (5.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawPeterborough United
22.44% (-0.315 -0.32) 22.38% (-0.19 -0.19) 55.18% (0.508 0.51)
Both teams to score 57.37% (0.224 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.04% (0.495 0.5)41.96% (-0.491 -0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.63% (0.495 0.5)64.37% (-0.492 -0.49)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.58% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)32.42% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.06% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)68.94% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.88% (0.342 0.34)15.11% (-0.339 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.32% (0.642 0.64)43.67% (-0.64 -0.64)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 22.44%
    Peterborough United 55.18%
    Draw 22.37%
Bristol RoversDrawPeterborough United
2-1 @ 5.87% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
1-0 @ 5.52% (-0.124 -0.12)
2-0 @ 3.11% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-1 @ 2.21% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.08% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 1.17% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 22.44%
1-1 @ 10.42% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.55% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.9% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.37%
1-2 @ 9.85% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 9.26% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
0-2 @ 8.75% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 6.21% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
0-3 @ 5.51% (0.074000000000001 0.07)
2-3 @ 3.5% (0.045 0.04)
1-4 @ 2.93% (0.072 0.07)
0-4 @ 2.6% (0.065 0.07)
2-4 @ 1.65% (0.041 0.04)
1-5 @ 1.11% (0.04 0.04)
0-5 @ 0.98% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 55.18%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-0 Cambridge
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-3 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-2 Reading
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-2 Bolton
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-0 Shrewsbury
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 2-0 Bristol Rovers
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 4-1 Fleetwood
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 5-0 Peterborough
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 3-0 Port Vale
Wednesday, April 10 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 2-1 Wycombe
Sunday, April 7 at 4.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-2 Peterborough
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 1-3 Carlisle
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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