SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 50.86%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 24.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Maritimo | Draw | Portimonense |
50.86% ( 0.46) | 24.71% ( -0.02) | 24.43% ( -0.44) |
| Both teams to score 52.17% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.02% ( -0.28) | 49.98% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.04% ( -0.25) | 71.96% ( 0.26) |
| Maritimo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.35% ( 0.08) | 19.65% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.38% ( 0.12) | 51.62% ( -0.12) |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.93% ( -0.54) | 35.07% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.19% ( -0.57) | 71.81% ( 0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maritimo | Draw | Portimonense |
| 1-0 @ 11.21% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 9.12% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 5.18% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.9% Total : 50.86% | 1-1 @ 11.74% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.7% | 0-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.05% Total : 24.43% |
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