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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33
May 11, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Portimao
RA

Portimonense
2 - 2
Rio Ave

Carlinhos (63'), Varela (90+7')
Carlinhos (82'), Estrela (90+5'), Davis (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Oudrhiri (21'), Pantalon (83')
Manuel (89'), Boateng (90+8')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-0 Portimonense
Saturday, May 4 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Rio Ave 2-1 Guimaraes
Saturday, May 4 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Portimonense 1-1 Rio Ave

This is arguably the biggest game of the season for Portimonense, who will know that anything less than three points will likely see them end the season in the relegation playoff, or worse. Unfortunately for the hosts, they are facing a Rio Ave side that are unbeaten in 10 league games, holding the likes of Sporting and Braga to draws in that time. This should be an intriguing contest, but we feel both sides will have to settle for a point apiece at the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 47.3%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 25.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.16%) and 1-2 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-0 (8.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
PortimonenseDrawRio Ave
25.94% (-0.715 -0.72) 26.76% (0.318 0.32) 47.3% (0.4 0.4)
Both teams to score 47.52% (-1.458 -1.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.24% (-1.611 -1.61)56.76% (1.614 1.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.3% (-1.308 -1.31)77.7% (1.31 1.31)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.53% (-1.487 -1.49)37.47% (1.49 1.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.75% (-1.489 -1.49)74.25% (1.492 1.49)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.99% (-0.511 -0.51)24.01% (0.514 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.73% (-0.736 -0.74)58.27% (0.739 0.74)
Score Analysis
    Portimonense 25.94%
    Rio Ave 47.3%
    Draw 26.76%
PortimonenseDrawRio Ave
1-0 @ 8.83% (0.19 0.19)
2-1 @ 6.19% (-0.213 -0.21)
2-0 @ 4.34% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-1 @ 2.02% (-0.156 -0.16)
3-2 @ 1.44% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-0 @ 1.42% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 25.94%
1-1 @ 12.6% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 9% (0.543 0.54)
2-2 @ 4.41% (-0.221 -0.22)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 26.76%
0-1 @ 12.83% (0.59 0.59)
0-2 @ 9.16% (0.289 0.29)
1-2 @ 8.99% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
0-3 @ 4.35% (0.073 0.07)
1-3 @ 4.27% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.138 -0.14)
0-4 @ 1.55% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.52% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 47.3%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-0 Portimonense
Saturday, May 4 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 0-2 Moreirense
Sunday, April 28 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 2-2 Portimonense
Sunday, April 21 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 2-2 Casa Pia
Sunday, April 14 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Chaves 2-3 Portimonense
Sunday, April 7 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 3-5 Braga
Monday, April 1 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Rio Ave 2-1 Guimaraes
Saturday, May 4 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Vizela 1-1 Rio Ave
Saturday, April 27 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Rio Ave 1-1 Arouca
Friday, April 19 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 2-2 Rio Ave
Sunday, April 14 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Rio Ave 3-0 Gil Vicente
Saturday, April 6 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Boavista 0-0 Rio Ave
Saturday, March 30 at 6pm in Primeira Liga


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