Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 62.69%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Le Mans had a probability of 16.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Le Mans win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.