Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 65.23%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Valenciennes had a probability of 13.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.34%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Valenciennes win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.

Result
Caen	Draw	Valenciennes
65.23% ( 1.63)	21.46% ( -0.51)	13.31% ( -1.12)

Both teams to score 42.71% (

-1.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.52% (

-0.18)

52.48% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.85% (

-0.15)

74.15% (

0.15)

Caen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.61% (

0.47)

15.38% (

-0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.82% (

0.88)

44.18% (

-0.88)

Valenciennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.47% (

-1.82)

49.52% (

1.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.67% (

-1.31)

84.32% (

1.31)

Score Analysis

Caen 65.22%

Valenciennes 13.31%

Draw 21.46%

Caen	Draw	Valenciennes
1-0 @ 14.26% ( 0.33) 2-0 @ 13.34% ( 0.52) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.46) 3-1 @ 5.85% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.9% ( 0.27) 4-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.1) 5-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.12) 5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.92% Total : 65.22%	1-1 @ 10.02% ( -0.29) 0-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.22) Other @ 0.52% Total : 21.46%	0-1 @ 5.35% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.3) 0-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.19) Other @ 2.56% Total : 13.31%