Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 44.19%. A win for Annecy had a probability of 28.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Annecy win was 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.
0.05) 
-0.01) 
