Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 48.14%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 27.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.36%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Clermont win was 2-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
-0.01) 
0.03) 
