Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 61.47%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 17.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Clermont win it was 0-1 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
Result | ||
Monaco | Draw | Clermont |
61.47% ( 0.19) | 21.04% ( -0.01) | 17.5% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 53.61% ( -0.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.02% ( -0.23) | 42.98% ( 0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.62% ( -0.23) | 65.38% ( 0.23) |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.52% ( -0.01) | 13.47% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.52% ( -0.03) | 40.48% ( 0.03) |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.95% ( -0.34) | 38.04% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.19% ( -0.33) | 74.81% ( 0.33) |
Score Analysis |
Monaco | Draw | Clermont |
2-0 @ 10.29% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 10.27% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.88% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.33% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.34% ( -0) Other @ 3.09% Total : 61.45% | 1-1 @ 9.93% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.13% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.04% | 0-1 @ 4.95% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.26% Total : 17.5% |
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