Defensively dubious but boasting one of French football's most potent strikers, Metz can hold out for a score draw on away soil. Saint-Etienne have not been convincing in recent weeks, so they may be content to simply stay in the tie ahead of Sunday's return. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 61.67%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Metz had a probability of 16.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint-Etienne would win this match.

Result
Saint-Etienne	Draw	Metz
61.67%	22.03%	16.3%

Both teams to score 47.94%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.72%

49.28%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.67%

71.33%

Saint-Etienne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.53%

15.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.66%

44.34%

Metz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.71%

43.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.46%

79.54%

Score Analysis

Saint-Etienne 61.66%

Metz 16.3%

Draw 22.03%

Saint-Etienne	Draw	Metz
1-0 @ 12.49% 2-0 @ 11.66% 2-1 @ 9.77% 3-0 @ 7.26% 3-1 @ 6.08% 4-0 @ 3.39% 4-1 @ 2.83% 3-2 @ 2.54% 5-0 @ 1.26% 4-2 @ 1.19% 5-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.14% Total : 61.66%	1-1 @ 10.46% 0-0 @ 6.7% 2-2 @ 4.09% Other @ 0.78% Total : 22.03%	0-1 @ 5.61% 1-2 @ 4.38% 0-2 @ 2.35% 1-3 @ 1.22% 2-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.6% Total : 16.3%