Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 72.59%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Lumezzane had a probability of 10.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.65%) and 3-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.06%), while for a Lumezzane win it was 0-1 (3.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cremonese would win this match.
-0.17) 
0.09) 
