Needing only a draw to reach Serie A, Venezia can afford to lure Cremonese out and strike clinically on the counter.
While it is sure to be a closely-fought encounter, the hosts have lost only three times at the Penzo this season and look a tough team to beat.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 39.69%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 34.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Venezia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Venezia.
-0.05) 
0.11) 
