Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 64.75%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Giana Erminio had a probability of 14.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.05%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for a Giana Erminio win it was 0-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cremonese would win this match.
0.01) 
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