Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Lumezzane had a probability of 32.11% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Lumezzane win was 1-0 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
0.18) 
-0.02) 
