Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 51.14%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Stockport County had a probability of 24.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Stockport County win it was 0-1 (7.19%).