Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 46.21%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 2-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
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