While Leyton Orient have little to play for, Derby will be highly motivated to clinch all three points to aid their promotion bid, and we think that they will do enough to continue their impressive home form.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 56.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 19.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Leyton Orient win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.
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