Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Diosgyor win with a probability of 60.58%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Zemplin Michalovce had a probability of 17.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Diosgyor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Zemplin Michalovce win it was 0-1 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Diosgyor would win this match.