SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 67.36%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Diosgyor had a probability of 13.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.35%) and 1-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for a Diosgyor win it was 1-0 (4.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Diosgyor | Draw | Ferencvaros |
13.66% ( 0.13) | 18.97% ( -0.02) | 67.36% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 51.44% ( 0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.74% ( 0.39) | 41.26% ( -0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.35% ( 0.4) | 63.65% ( -0.4) |
| Diosgyor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.99% ( 0.45) | 42.01% ( -0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.55% ( 0.38) | 78.45% ( -0.39) |
| Ferencvaros Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.7% ( 0.08) | 11.3% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.07% ( 0.18) | 35.93% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Diosgyor | Draw | Ferencvaros |
| 1-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 3.89% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.52% Total : 13.66% | 1-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 4.24% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.01% Total : 18.97% | 0-2 @ 11.28% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 10.35% ( -0.15)1-2 @ 9.79% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 8.2% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 7.11% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 4.47% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 3.88% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.05)0-5 @ 1.95% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.69% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.88% Total : 67.36% |
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