SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Debrecen win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for Diosgyor had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Debrecen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Diosgyor win was 1-0 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Diosgyor | Draw | Debrecen |
33.07% ( -0.03) | 25.79% ( -0.01) | 41.14% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 54.35% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.23% ( 0.05) | 49.77% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.23% ( 0.05) | 71.77% ( -0.05) |
| Diosgyor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.47% ( 0.01) | 28.53% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.69% ( 0.01) | 64.31% ( -0) |
| Debrecen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.05% ( 0.05) | 23.95% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.82% ( 0.07) | 58.18% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Diosgyor | Draw | Debrecen |
| 1-0 @ 8.57% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.68% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.21% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.25% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.68% Total : 33.07% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.49% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.75% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.98% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.17% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.49% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.19% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 1.92% Total : 41.14% |
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