SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MTK win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Diosgyor had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a MTK win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Diosgyor win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| MTK | Draw | Diosgyor |
42.39% ( 0) | 24.06% ( 0.01) | 33.54% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 60.53% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.2% ( -0.06) | 41.79% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.8% ( -0.06) | 64.2% ( 0.05) |
| MTK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.06% ( -0.02) | 19.93% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.92% ( -0.04) | 52.08% ( 0.03) |
| Diosgyor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.6% ( -0.04) | 24.4% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.18% ( -0.05) | 58.81% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| MTK | Draw | Diosgyor |
| 2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.8% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.4% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.38% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.93% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.37% 4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0)Other @ 3.05% Total : 42.39% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.06% | 1-2 @ 7.8% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.84% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.67% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.28% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 2.8% Total : 33.54% |
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