SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elversberg win with a probability of 45.98%. A win for Eupen had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elversberg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Eupen win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elversberg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Elversberg | Draw | Eupen |
45.98% ( -0.35) | 24.86% ( 0.06) | 29.16% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 55.62% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.7% ( -0.09) | 47.3% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.48% ( -0.08) | 69.53% ( 0.09) |
| Elversberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.37% ( -0.19) | 20.63% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.81% ( -0.3) | 53.19% ( 0.31) |
| Eupen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.08% ( 0.17) | 29.92% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.98% ( 0.2) | 66.03% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elversberg | Draw | Eupen |
| 1-0 @ 9.74% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.69% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.88% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 4.05% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.71% Total : 45.98% | 1-1 @ 11.75% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.86% | 0-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.09% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.22% Total : 29.16% |
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