SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kortrijk win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for Eupen had a probability of 35.07% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kortrijk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Eupen win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kortrijk in this match.
| Result | ||
| Kortrijk | Draw | Eupen |
38.93% ( 0.77) | 26% ( -0.22) | 35.07% ( -0.54) |
| Both teams to score 54.1% ( 0.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.71% ( 0.89) | 50.29% ( -0.89) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.76% ( 0.78) | 72.24% ( -0.78) |
| Kortrijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.66% ( 0.83) | 25.34% ( -0.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.87% ( 1.12) | 60.13% ( -1.12) |
| Eupen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.46% ( 0.1) | 27.54% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.94% ( 0.13) | 63.06% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kortrijk | Draw | Eupen |
| 1-0 @ 9.58% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 3.88% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.54% Total : 38.93% | 1-1 @ 12.35% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.25)2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.13% Total : 26% | 0-1 @ 9% ( -0.3) 1-2 @ 7.97% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.18)1-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 2.93% Total : 35.07% |
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