Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 53.8%. A win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 24.32% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.82%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest SV Darmstadt 98 win was 2-1 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.